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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">imi</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Международная аналитика</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Journal of International Analytics</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2587-8476</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2541-9633</issn><publisher><publisher-name>MGIMO University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.46272/2587-8476-2019-0-3-71-82</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">imi-249</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ИССЛЕДОВАТЕЛЬСКИЕ СТАТЬИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>RESEARCH ARTICLES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Абхазия – 2019: от Хаджимба до Хаджимба</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Abkhazia – 2019: from Khajimba to Khajimba</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Новиков</surname><given-names>В. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Novikov</surname><given-names>V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Владимир Владимирович Новиков, канд. ист. наук, cт. науч. сотр. </p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Vladimir Novikov, PhD (History), senior researcher</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">novik222@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">Института социальных и политических исследований Черноморско-Каспийского региона<country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Institute for Social and Political Studies of the Black Sea – Caspian Region<country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2019</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>28</day><month>09</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>71</fpage><lpage>82</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Новиков В.В., 2019</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2019</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Новиков В.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Novikov V.</copyright-holder><license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/249">https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/249</self-uri><abstract><p>Рассматриваются ход и результаты предвыборной президентской кампании в Абхазии в 2019 г., а также факторы, определившие ее характер (болезнь Аслана Бжания, связанный с этим перенос выборов, количество кандидатов и др.). Показана расстановка сил накануне начала кампании. Дана характеристика основных кандидатов в президенты и сил, которые выдвигали этих кандидатов. Зафиксирован полицентризм абхазской политики, в которой сосуществуют не только власть, оппозиция и «третья сила», но и электоральные конкуренты как власти, так и оппозиции, а также многочисленные претенденты на роль «третьей силы», что и привело к распылению электората на президентских выборах. Рассмотрен ход президентской кампании, причем акцент сделан на анализе программных установок кандидатов и их политического стиля. Прослежены политические маневры власти, оппозиции и команды Александра Анкваба между двумя турами. Особое внимание уделяется причинам, позволившим Раулю Хаджимбе выиграть президентские выборы. Рассмотрена ситуация после президентских выборов, дан прогноз возможного развития событий.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The paper considers the course and outcomes of 2019 Presidential election campaign in Abkhazia as well as factors that stipulated its character (postponement of elections because of Aslan Bzhania’s disease, the number of contenders, etc.). The alignment of forces before the campaign is outlined, and the principal contenders are characterized, together with political forces that promoted them. A due attention is paid to the extraordinary polycentrism of Abkhaz politics, in  which not only the authority, opposition and the “third force” but also various electoral competitors of both the authority and the opposition, as well as numerous contenders to the role of the “third force” co-exist. Such disposition led to scattering of the electorate at the presidential election. The course of the electoral campaign is scrutinized with an emphasis put on the analysis of programmatic provisions of the contenders and their political style. The political maneuvers of the authority, opposition and Alexander Ankvab’ team between two rounds of the elections are traced. A special attention is paid to the causes of Raul Khajimba’s victory. The situation after the elections is also considered in the paper, and a prognosis is suggested of possible development.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Абхазия</kwd><kwd>Рауль Хаджимба</kwd><kwd>Аслан Бжания</kwd><kwd>Алхас Квициниа</kwd><kwd>Олег Аршба</kwd><kwd>Сергей Шамба</kwd><kwd>Александр Анкваб</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Abkhazia</kwd><kwd>Raul Khajimba</kwd><kwd>Aslan Bzhania</kwd><kwd>Alkhas Kwitzitnia</kwd><kwd>Oleg Arshba</kwd><kwd>Aslan Bzhania</kwd><kwd>Sergey Shamba Alexander Ankvab</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Муханов В. М. О текущем состоянии церковного раскола в Абхазии // Международная аналитика. – 2016. – № 1. – С. 129–137.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Mukhanov V. M. O tekushchem sostoyanii tserkovnogo raskola v Abkhazii [On the Current Status of the Church Schism in Abkhazia]. International Analytics. 2016. No. 1. P. 129–137.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">2. Новиков В. В. Абхазия в 2014–2017 гг. (Динамика внутриполитического кризиса) // Международная аналитика. – 2018. – № 1. – С. 101–110.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Novikov V. V. Abkhazia v 2014-2017 (Dinamika vnutripoliticheskogo krizisa) [Abkhazia in 2014–2017 (The Internal Political Crisis Dynamics)]. International Analytics. 2018. No. 1. P. 101–110.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">3. Новиков В. В. Абхазия – 2018: динамика внутриполитического процесса в перспективе президентских выборов // Международная аналитика. – 2019. – № 1–2. – С. 104–113.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Novikov V. V. Abkhazia v 2018: Dinamika vnutripoliticheskogo processa v perspective prezidentskikh viborov [Abkhazia – 2018: the Dynamics of Domestic Political Process in the Prospect of Presidential Election]. International Analytics. 2019. No. 1–2. P. 104–113.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
