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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">imi</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Международная аналитика</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Journal of International Analytics</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2587-8476</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2541-9633</issn><publisher><publisher-name>MGIMO University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.46272/2587-8476-2022-13-4-129-146</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">imi-458</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОБЗОРНЫЕ СТАТЬИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>RESEARCH ESSAY</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Турецкая Республика Северного Кипра как де-факто и частично признанное государство: от федерального решения к модели двух государств</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus as a De Facto and Limited Recognized State: From Federal Solution to Two State Model</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6028-3338</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Озсаглам</surname><given-names>M. T.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Özsağlam</surname><given-names>M. T.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Muhittin Tolga Özsağlam, Associate Professor, Department of International Relations</p><p>Lefke, North Cyprus</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">mozsaglam@eul.edu.tr</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="en">European University of Lefke<country>Turkey</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>13</day><month>01</month><year>2023</year></pub-date><volume>13</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>129</fpage><lpage>146</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Озсаглам M.T., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Озсаглам M.T.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Özsağlam M.T.</copyright-holder><license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/458">https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/458</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье анализируется история Турецкой Республики Северного Кипра (ТРСК) как де-факто государства с 1983 года. ТРСК обладает рядом особенностей, отличающих ее от других де-факто государств. Так, при наличии граждан ЕС в составе населения, ТРСК пользуется поддержкой и влиянием Турции – государства-патрона, не являющегося членом Европейского Союза. Несмотря на провозглашение ТРСК независимым государством, ее лидеры вплоть до момента избрания Э. Татара президентом в 2020 году прилагали усилия, направленные на воссоединение острова на базе федеративной модели. Еще одна уникальная особенность ТРСК заключается в более сильной традиции гражданского общества по сравнению с оппозицией, представленной политическими партиями и неправительственными организациями, которые периодически вступают в конфликт с правительством Турции по поводу его политики по кипрскому вопросу и в отношении ТРСК. На позицию Турции как государства-патрона ТРСК влияет динамика ее отношений с Европейским Союзом. Отсутствие какого-либо прогресса в вопросе членства Турции в ЕС и бескомпромиссная позиция руководства греков-киприотов на переговорах в последние десятилетия способствовали изменению позиции Турции по кипрской проблеме. После прихода к власти Э. Татар заявил, что федерализм как решение проблемы на острове невозможен, и настоял на реализации модели двух государств при поддержке Турции.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>This study covers the history of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) as a de facto state, a status it has held since 1983 after having established its institutional structure in 1975 under the name of the Turkish Federated State of Cyprus (TFSC). The TRNC has unique characteristics when compared with other de facto states. While it is home to EU citizens, it enjoys the support and influence of Turkey as its patron state, which is not member of the European Union. Although the TRNC has been declared an independent state, TRNC leaders pursued a federal solution to reunify the island until E. Tatar was elected president in 2020. The TRNC has another unique characteristic: its civil society tradition is more powerful than opposition political parties and non-governmental organizations, which sometimes clash with the government of Turkey concerning the latter’s policies in the TRNC and the Cyprus question. As the TRNC’s patron state, Turkey shapes its stance on the island in parallel with its relations with the European Union. The lack of any progress on Turkey’s EU membership and uncompromising position of the Greek Cypriot leadership at negotiations in recent decades have pushed Turkey to shift its position on the Cyprus problem. Therefore, after coming to power, Tatar stated that a federal solution is not possible on the island and insisted that a two-state model be implemented with the support of Turkey.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Де-факто государство</kwd><kwd>Турецкая республика Северного Кипра (ТРСК)</kwd><kwd>Турция</kwd><kwd>Греция</kwd><kwd>Европейский Союз (ЕС)</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>de facto state</kwd><kwd>Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC)</kwd><kwd>Turkey</kwd><kwd>Greece</kwd><kwd>European Union (EU)</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Asmussen, Jan. “Early Conflicts Between Greek and Turkish Cypriot Communities.” The Cyprus Review 16, no. 1, (2004): 87–106.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Asmussen, Jan. “Early Conflicts Between Greek and Turkish Cypriot Communities.” The Cyprus Review 16, no. 1, (2004): 87–106.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Attalides, Michalis. “The Political Process in Cyprus and the Day After the Referendum.” The Cyprus Review 16, no. 1 (2004): 137–146.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Attalides, Michalis. “The Political Process in Cyprus and the Day After the Referendum.” The Cyprus Review 16, no. 1 (2004): 137–146.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ayberk, İbrahim, Akşit Sait, and Dayıoğlu Ali. “Bir De Facto Devlet Olarak Kuzey Kıbrıs’ta Sivil Toplum: Toplumsal Tepki, Kıbrıs Türk Sendikaları ve Türkiye’yle ilişkiler.” Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi 16, no. 64 (2019): 127–144. https://doi.org/10.33458/uidergisi.653013.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ayberk, İbrahim, Akşit Sait, and Dayıoğlu Ali. “Bir De Facto Devlet Olarak Kuzey Kıbrıs’ta Sivil Toplum: Toplumsal Tepki, Kıbrıs Türk Sendikaları ve Türkiye’yle ilişkiler.” Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi 16, no. 64 (2019): 127–144. https://doi.org/10.33458/uidergisi.653013.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ayberk, İbrahim, Akşit Sait, and Dayıoğlu Ali. “Civil Society in a De Facto State-Northern Cyprus: Societal Dissent, Turkish Cypriot Trade Unions and Relations with Turkey.” Journal of International Relations 16, no. 64 (2019): 127–144 [In Turkish].</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ayberk, İbrahim, Akşit Sait, and Dayıoğlu Ali. “Civil Society in a De Facto State-Northern Cyprus: Societal Dissent, Turkish Cypriot Trade Unions and Relations with Turkey.” Journal of International Relations 16, no. 64 (2019): 127–144 [In Turkish].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">De Waal, Thomas. 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