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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">imi</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Международная аналитика</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Journal of International Analytics</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2587-8476</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2541-9633</issn><publisher><publisher-name>MGIMO University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.46272/2587-8476-2023-14-1-72-91</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">imi-469</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ИССЛЕДОВАТЕЛЬСКИЕ СТАТЬИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>RESEARCH ARTICLES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Между развитием, ростом и выживанием: о некоторых особенностях модели социально-экономического развития Ирана на современном этапе</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Between Development, Growth and Survival: Some Current Features of Iran’s Model of Socio-Economic Development</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кожанов</surname><given-names>Н. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kozhanov</surname><given-names>N. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Николай Александрович Кожанов, к. э. н., с. н. с.</p><p>Профсоюзная ул., 23</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Nikolai A. Kozhanov, PhD in Economic sciences, Senior researcher</p><p>Trade Union street, 23</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">n_a_kozhanov@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">ИМЭМО им. Е. М. Примакова<country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences<country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2023</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>14</day><month>04</month><year>2023</year></pub-date><volume>14</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>72</fpage><lpage>91</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Кожанов Н.А., 2023</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Кожанов Н.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kozhanov N.A.</copyright-holder><license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/469">https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/469</self-uri><abstract><p>   После победы на президентских выборах 2021 г. Э. Раиси у иранских консерваторов появился шанс дать ответ на внутренние вызовы, стоящие перед Исламской Республикой Иран (ИРИ). Провал их попыток обеспечить экономический рост в условиях санкционного давления может иметь критическое значение для судьбы Ирана и для политического будущего Э. Раиси. Между тем как внешнее санкционное давление, так и накопившиеся структурные проблемы иранской экономики являются существенными преградами для экономического развития страны. В статье автор пытается ответить на вопрос о том, почему при относительной устойчивости иранской экономики к внешним и внутренним вызовам, а также макроэкономических показателях, не всегда уступающих в своей динамике показателям иранских соседей по региону, в ИРИ существует значительная социальная напряженность, выливающаяся в периодические протестные действия, а сама экономическая ситуация оценивается как кризисная. В работе проводится анализ основных вызовов, стоящих перед руководством страны в сфере экономики, и того, насколько цели и приоритеты реализуемой им доктрины «экономики сопротивления» позволяют дать на них адекватный ответ. В итоге автор приходит к выводу о том, что сформировавшаяся в условиях агрессивной среды модель иранской экономики ставит своим приоритетом обеспечение выживания существующей политической системы, подходя к вопросам обеспечения экономического роста как вторичным и не удовлетворяя ряд потребностей населения свыше базовых. Она не способна гарантировать устойчивого комплексного социально-экономического развития, что с течением времени ведет к накоплению внутреннего напряжения в иранском обществе.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>   In recent years, conservative forces in Iran have lambasted their moderate and pragmatic rivals for their inability to solve the country’s economic issues and improve the living standards of its populace. However, since Ebrahim Raisi won the presidential election in 2021, Iranian conservatives have had their own chance to tackle the country’s internal challenges, being the last of the political forces without direct influence on the economic decision-making system for a long time. Nevertheless, their failed attempts to foster economic growth under sanctions pressure may prove critical to the Islamic Republic. Not only the conservative part of the establishment but the entire political system may risk losing what remains of its credibility with the Iranian people, who could perceive it as incapable of eff ectively managing the economy. Furthermore, the government’s success in resolving the current socio-economic development issues is also pivotal to the political future of E. Raisi. His failure would deprive him of any opportunity to claim the post of the next supreme leader of Iran. Meanwhile, the accumulated structural problems of the Iranian economy and the external sanctions pressure can render achieving economic progress a daunting, if not insurmountable, task. This paper seeks to elucidate why there is signifi cant social tension in Iran, resulting in periodic outbursts of protest, and why the economic situation is deemed a crisis, despite the relative resilience of the Iranian economy to external and internal challenges, as well as the macroeconomic performance dynamics, which are not necessarily inferior to those of Iran’s regional neighbors. To answer this question, the paper analyzes the main economic challenges facing the country’s leadership and the extent to which the goals and priorities of the implemented “resistance economy” doctrine provide an adequate response to them. As a theoretical tool, the author employs the ideas of M. Todaro, A. Sen, S. Smith, J. Foster, and C. Handy, justifying the need for any state to transcend the simple parameters of economic growth in formulating its development strategy and think more comprehensively, focusing primarily on creating a social and economic environment that is comfortable for its citizens. As a result, the author concludes that the model of the Iranian economy that has been formed in an aggressive environment prioritizes the survival of the existing political system, approaching the issue of economic growth as secondary and failing to satisfy some popular needs beyond the basic ones. It is incapable of ensuring comprehensive sustainable socio-economic development, which over time leads to the accumulation of internal tension in Iranian society.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Иран</kwd><kwd>санкции</kwd><kwd>социально-экономическое развитие</kwd><kwd>экономика сопротивления</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Iran</kwd><kwd>sanctions</kwd><kwd>socio-economic development</kwd><kwd>resistance economy</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Арабаджян, А. З. Исламская Республика Иран. Экономический потенциал / А. З. Арабаджян. – М., 2002.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Arabadzhan, A. Islamic Republic of Iran. Economic Potential. Moscow: 2002 [In Russian].</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Abdallahi, M. 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