imiМеждународная аналитикаJournal of International Analytics2587-84762541-9633MGIMO University10.46272/2587-8476-2023-14-3-106-126imi-500Research ArticleИССЛЕДОВАТЕЛЬСКИЕ СТАТЬИRESEARCH ARTICLESНелегальная иммиграция из Латинской Америки в контексте президентской кампании в США 2024 г.: эффекты поляризацииIllegal Immigration from Latin America Amid the 2024 U.S. Presidential Campaign: Polarization EffectsСокольщикЛ. М.SokolshchikL. M.

Лев Маркович Сокольщик, к.ист.н., доцент Департамента зарубежного регионоведения,научный сотрудник Центра комплексных европейских и международных исследованийМосква, ул. Малая Ордынка 17, 119017

Lev M. Sokolshchik, PhD (Hist.), Associate Professor, School of International Regional Studies, Research Fellow, Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies 

17, Malaya Ordynka street, Moscow, 119017

lsokolshchik@hse.ruСакаевВ. Т.SakaevV. T.

Василь Тимерьянович Сакаев, к.ист.н., доцент кафедры истории 

Москва, Тимирязевская ул. 49, 127434

Vasil T. Sakaev, PhD (Hist.), Associate Professor, Department of History

49, Timiryazevskay street, Moscow, Russia, 27434

sakaev2003@mail.ruГалимуллинЭ. З.GalimullinE. Z.

Эдуард Зульфатович Галимуллин, научный сотрудник Центра комплексных европейских и международных исследований

Москва, ул. Малая Ордынка 17, 119017

Eduard Z. Galimullin, Research Fellow, Center for Comprehensive European and International Studies

17, Malaya Ordynka street, Moscow, 119017

galimullin-eduard@mail.ruНациональный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»РоссияNational Research University Higher School of EconomicsRussian FederationФедеральное государственное бюджетное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Российский государственный аграрный университет – МСХА имени К.А. Тимирязева»РоссияRussian State Agrarian University - Moscow Timiryazev Agricultural AcademyRussian Federation202310122023143106126Copyright © Сокольщик Л.М., Сакаев В.Т., Галимуллин Э.З., 20232023Сокольщик Л.М., Сакаев В.Т., Галимуллин Э.З.Sokolshchik L.M., Sakaev V.T., Galimullin E.Z.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/500

Проблема нелегальной иммиграции, прежде всего из стран Латинской Америки, продолжает оставаться в числе наиболее значимых для политического процесса в США. В преддверии президентских выборов 2024 г. кандидаты от республиканской и демократической партий в своих выступлениях активно используют данную тему, пытаясь заручиться поддержкой избирателей. Хотя представители двух крупнейших партий страны сходятся в негативных оценках данного явления, их мнения серьезно противопоставлены в отношении способов решения данной проблемы. Авторы исследуют влияние эффектов нелегальной иммиграции из Латинской Америки на политический процесс в США в контексте президентской предвыборной кампании 2024 г., опираясь на региональный подход. В работе делается вывод о том, что углубление миграционного кризиса в США и связанных с ним социально-экономических проблем будет и далее усиливать политическую поляризацию в стране и, скорее всего, будет способствовать укреплению позиций кандидата от республиканской партии на предстоящих выборах. В целом острые дискуссии вокруг данной проблемы выходят далеко за пределы внутриполитического дискурса США и все в большей степени касаются противоречивых межамериканских отношений и перспектив всей либерально-демократической модели развития.

Illegal immigration, particularly from Latin American countries, remains a major issue that divides the political process in the United States. Both Republican and Democratic candidates are exploiting this problem for political gain, as they compete for voters' support in the lead-up to the 2024 presidential election. While representatives of the two main political parties align on negative attitudes towards the issue, their approaches to addressing the problem are signifi cantly divided. This study aims to examine the impact of the polarising eff ects of Latin American illegal immigration on the political process in the United States within the context of the 2024 presidential campaign. The article takes a regional approach, examining presidential candidates from the Democratic and Republican parties who have formally declared their intention to run on September 1, 2023. The article concludes that the ongoing migration crisis in the United States and related socio-economic issues will remain a major concern in the future. Overall, discussions on this matter extend beyond domestic political discourse in the United States and now encompass the contentious interAmerican relations and the outlook for the liberal-democratic model as a whole.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.