imiМеждународная аналитикаJournal of International Analytics2587-84762541-9633MGIMO University10.46272/2587-8476-2025-16-4-129-144imi-676Research ArticleИССЛЕДОВАТЕЛЬСКИЕ СТАТЬИRESEARCH ARTICLESОт всеобщих к муниципальным выборам в Южной Африке: анализ внутренних социально-политических факторов (2024–2025)From General to Municipal Elections in South Africa: An Analysis of Domestic Sociopolitical Factors (2024–2025)ТуряницаД. А.TurianitsaD. A.

Туряница Дарья Андреевна, младший научный сотрудник Центра изучения африканской стратегии БРИКС

123001, Москва, ул. Спиридоновка, д. 30/1

Daria A. Turianitsa, Junior Research Fellow, Research Centre for African strategy in BRICS

30/1, Spiridonovka street, Moscow, Russia, 123001

darya.turyanitsa@gmail.comИнститут Африки РАНРоссияInstitute for African Studies, Russian Academy of SciencesRussian Federation202515032026164129144Copyright © Туряница Д.А., 20262026Туряница Д.А.Turianitsa D.A.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.interanalytics.org/jour/article/view/676

В статье представлен краткий анализ итогов выборов 2024 г., которые ознаменовали завершение эпохи однопартийного руководства Африканского национального конгресса (АНК) в Южной Африке. Потеряв значительную долю голосов, АНК создал «центристское» правительство, в состав которого вошли представители разных партий с противоречивыми политическими программами. Цель работы заключается в оценке выборов 2024 г. и результатов работы нового Правительства национального единства. На основе материалов южноафриканских исследовательских центров, научных работ ведущих исследователей страны, а также аналитических статей в СМИ автор исследует причины электорального сдвига, внутреннюю динамику коалиционного формирования, а также результаты полуторагодовой работы Правительства национального единства. В результате анализа выявлено, что падение уровня поддержки АНК в первую очередь вызвано ухудшением социально-экономической ситуации в стране. Несмотря на внутренние идеологические конфликты, Правительство национального единства и правящая элита продемонстрировали способность находить компромиссы и сдерживать нарастание кризисных явлений.

The article discusses the preparations and outcomes of the parliamentary elections in South Africa, which took place on May 29th, 2024. For the first time in 30 years, the ruling African National Congress failed to secure a parliamentary majority. It is important to understand how this new political landscape will affect domestic and foreign policy. The author analyzes the key stages of the election process, summarizes the results and considers the emergence of new actors. She highlights other factors that contributed to the outcome, including the initial actions of the new leaders of the country. There is a question about how internal change will affect South African foreign policy as a member of BRICS, given recent appointments to government and the position of Minister for International Relations and Cooperation.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.