Стратегии великих держав: наступательное господство и снижение угрозы «вклинивания» на Ближнем Востоке
https://doi.org/10.46272/2587-8476-2026-17-1-98-122
Аннотация
В исследовании рассматривается, как растущая поляризация международной системы формирует конкуренцию великих держав на Ближнем Востоке. Зависимость т.н. клиентов от Вашингтона в вопросах внутренней и внешней безопасности позволяет США проводить наступательную стратегию доминирования, направленную на установление регионального порядка, соответствующего ключевой цели – сдерживанию Китая и России. В ответ Пекин и Москва используют особую форму противодействия, направленную на снижение восприятия угрозы клиентами и содействие разрешению конфликтов. Эта стратегия ориентирована на изменение асимметричной модели зависимости в альянсах США на Ближнем Востоке за счет повышения автономии клиентов и сотрудничества с Китаем и Россией там, где интересы совпадают. Саудовско-иранское сближение иллюстрирует потенциал такого «вклинивания», в то время как израильский пример демонстрирует его пределы. В целом эффективность стратегий Китая и России остается крайне ограниченной по сравнению с США из-за проекции военного потенциала США и зависимости региональных игроков.
Ключевые слова
Об авторе
А. Халфа
Уральский федеральный университет имени первого Президента России Б.Н. Ельцина
Россия
Россия
Ахмед Халфа – инженер-исследователь, Уральский институт гуманитарных наук
620002, г. Екатеринбург, ул. Мира, 19
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Рецензия
Для цитирования:
Халфа А. Стратегии великих держав: наступательное господство и снижение угрозы «вклинивания» на Ближнем Востоке. Международная аналитика. 2026;17(1):98-122. https://doi.org/10.46272/2587-8476-2026-17-1-98-122
For citation:
Khalfa A. Great Power Strategies: Offensive Dominance and Threat-Reduction Wedging in the Middle East. Journal of International Analytics. 2026;17(1):98-122. https://doi.org/10.46272/2587-8476-2026-17-1-98-122
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