ЦИВИЛИЗАЦИОННЫЕ РАКУРСЫ
The article explains the reasons for nomination and traces the dynamics of the contents of the “dialogue of civilizations” and “alliance of civilizations” concepts. The reasons and circumstances that led to the ineffectiveness of attempts at their practical implementation are considered. The corresponding initiatives did not have a genuinely civilizational scale, closing in the framework of two monotheistic religions – Christianity and Islam.
The author postulates two sets of problems, around which a possible intercivilizational dialogue is possible -demographic problems and consumption optimization.
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization is on the verge of a new transformation into a more influential international organization, which is why the SCO Forum held in Tashkent this year has become one of the most r epresentative of the recent years. The forum has been held regularly since 2006 and always brought together leading experts from the member countries of the organization. Due to the arrangements made by the Institute for Strategic and Interregional Studies under the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, this year the member countries and observer countries took part in productive discussions on such important matters as stability and security in the region, as well as discussed prospects for expanding the organization concluding that the process should not dilute the fundamental principles of the Organization’s activities.
Experts have also agreed that bilateral contradictions between individual member countries should not hamper the achievement of general agreement and development of consensual decisions on key issues on the SCO agenda. The ‘Shanghai spirit’ enshrined in the Charter and based on the principles of mutual trust, benefit, equality, and prevention of any unlawful actions directed against the interests of other member states, should become an ethical code that emphasizes the high level of partnership and trust within the SCO framework. The inclusion of India and Pakistan in the SCO bears a special significance. Such enlargement will give the organization a completely different meaning, as well as lay out new tasks for member countries and open prospects for a new format of multilateral relations based on mutual consideration of interests within the institutional framework of the Organisation.
The subject of this expert study is an evaluation of risks and potential threats of globalization of the U.S. and the allied BMD systems as well as of their sea-based deployments as the most important component of integrated forward-based BMD systems. Negative consequences of the large-scale deployments of these systems for negotiating strategic arms limitations as well as for reversibility of the existing treaties are evident in the midterm perspective.
The versions of “moderate” qualitative and quantitative estimations of these plans and programs promoted by the U.S. and allied countries allow to become firmly convinced about intentions to create the phenomena of “a window of vulnerability” for the Russia’s SLBM and ICBM retaliation potential. This temporal interval tends to widen, owing to a lower limit by a deployment closer to seashore of defense installations and objects in the depth of territory, as well as, by a shorter time-reaction to launches of the strategic retaliation forces by sea-based BMD’s.
The most possible scenarios of the deployment of ships equipped with BMD’s and organized in groups that are engaged in “active-offensive” missions show the unavoidable necessity to include “a less favorable scenario” in the Russia’s strategic planning. The calculations adduced by the author give serious grounds to suggest that realization of corresponding plans of shipbuilding and deployments in the mid-term perspective will create conditions for reversibility of the existing strategic balance and totally undermine negotiating processes on arms control.
ИМПЛИКАЦИИ ВОЕННО-ТЕХНИЧЕСКОГО РАЗВИТИЯ
БЛИЖНЕВОСТОЧНАЯ ДИНАМИКА
The paper deals with the phenomenon of the Qatari-Saudi rivalry in the Middle East in the context of dissimilarities between political programs and aspirations of the two states in the Middle East.
The following research undertakings are realized in the article:
• an explanation of the reasons of Qatar and the Saudi Kingdom’s domination in the Arab politics of the last 15 years;
• an analysis of the Qatari foreign policy and the regional geopolitical agenda of Qatar;
• an inquiry into the reasons and driving forces of the Saudi-Qatari conflict;
• a study of the external actors’ influence on the Saudi-Qatari conflict, taking into account the changers in the U.S. foreign policy;
• investigation of the different political strategies of the Saudi Arabia and UAE in Yemen which may lead to disintegration of this country.
The author emphasizes four main reasons for the Saudi-Qatari rivalry: support by the Qatari leadership of the international movement Muslim Brotherhood; tribal rivalry among the families of al-Saud and al-Thani; struggle for the ideological heritage of Muhammad Abdel Wahhab; different approaches to Iran, and its role in the region.
ИЗ ИСТОРИИ МЕЖДУНАРОДНОГО ПРАВА
Facts backed up by documents and contemporary testimonies must serve as a basis for the consequencies of the events of 1917, as a verification of any impartial estimation and indiscriminate view on the most brutal revolt in history, and its consequences.
The Russian society needs an impartial, just and deep analysis of these events. Foremost this would require a clear civilised understanding of the real essence of any coup d’etat, whatever name it takes (revolution, classjustified struggle, etc) and whatever banners it bears in history, and whatever propaganda and ideological falcifications determine it.
The Constitution of any state ruled by law acknowledges any evolution in the development of the sociaty based on legal principles. Any change of institutes or social system in a state can be realised through the force of laws, which comply with the public expression of will (referendum). In national legislation of the present-day states there are no norms, which establish revolutionary convulsions as legal, which are based on illegitimate take-over with the use of force.
RESEARCH ESSAY
ISSN 2541-9633 (Online)